Comment on “Shy Trump Voters’’
Please read the article on the fivethirtyeight website about “shy” Trump voters (Links to an external site.) https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-supporters-arent-shy-but-polls-could-still-be-missing-some-of-them/ . Comment on the article, addressing the following questions, in roughly 300-400 words. Your answers should be given as if you are explaining to someone who hasn’t read the article. As usual the length is a guideline not an absolute requirement. You don’t need to read any of the articles linked in that main article to answer the questions below, but if you’re curious you might take a look at some of those other articles. You might also check out the 538 election forecast model (Links to an external site.) https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/ and slightly less mathy predictions (Links to an external site.) https://www.270towin.com/ based on consensus of pundits.
- What is a shy Trump voter?
- In the data comparing online to live caller polls, explain the evidence that there aren’t shy Trump voters.
- What other factors might result in biases for the 2020 poll results? How are (some) pollsters making adjustments from what they did in 2016?
- In the data shown in the article, what year had the biggest poll bias for the democratic presidential candidate?
You can comment beyond the questions listed here, but you should at least address these.
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